The Nevada caucuses took place this afternoon and the projected winners are in - Hillary Clinton for the Democrats and Mitt Romney for the Republicans. It's close on the Democratic side, the win may only be as large as two or three points for Clinton. Is that much of a win at all? Well, if the race continues to be this close and things go down to the convention it may not be much of a win because it probably won't accrue Clinton that many more delegates.
Particularly disappointed is going to be John Edwards, who has pulled around 4% of the vote. That's well, well below both Clinton and Obama who clock around 51% and 45% respectively. He won't take his bat and go home though, he's said he's in it until the Convention but South Carolina for the Democrats next Saturday will truly make or break his chances of actually winning this thing (and let's be honest, it's probably going to break. Even if he wins he's still barely alive, rather than dead on arrival.)
On the Republican side Mitt Romney takes Nevada. That's not surprising - his Mormon faith plays well in Nevada and he's one of the only candidates to have spent any time here. He's playing a delegate game too, attempting to gain as many delegates at the convention as he can. So it's not surprising that he won, and all attention for the Republicans is on South Carolina, where Romney has downplayed expectations. Since South Carolina is a primary and not a caucus we won't know the results until later tonight when the polls close. Interestingly in Nevada, and as I type this only 38% of precints are reporting, Ron Paul is just edging out John McCain for second place. It's a bit of an underwhelming second place - 13%, but second place it is nonetheless. I'll provide some more analysis on the Republican race when the South Carolina results become known.
Particularly disappointed is going to be John Edwards, who has pulled around 4% of the vote. That's well, well below both Clinton and Obama who clock around 51% and 45% respectively. He won't take his bat and go home though, he's said he's in it until the Convention but South Carolina for the Democrats next Saturday will truly make or break his chances of actually winning this thing (and let's be honest, it's probably going to break. Even if he wins he's still barely alive, rather than dead on arrival.)
On the Republican side Mitt Romney takes Nevada. That's not surprising - his Mormon faith plays well in Nevada and he's one of the only candidates to have spent any time here. He's playing a delegate game too, attempting to gain as many delegates at the convention as he can. So it's not surprising that he won, and all attention for the Republicans is on South Carolina, where Romney has downplayed expectations. Since South Carolina is a primary and not a caucus we won't know the results until later tonight when the polls close. Interestingly in Nevada, and as I type this only 38% of precints are reporting, Ron Paul is just edging out John McCain for second place. It's a bit of an underwhelming second place - 13%, but second place it is nonetheless. I'll provide some more analysis on the Republican race when the South Carolina results become known.
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